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Prediction markets

15 active markets · category “Science”

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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

≤6
1%YesNo
7
1%YesNo
$69KVol. Jul 19science
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang97%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman97%9 more
$683KVol. Jul 30science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

>6"
>6"32%
4-5"
4-5"32%4 more
$25KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

0
1%YesNo
1
95%YesNo
$32KVol. Jul 19science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest88%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest9%2 more
$80KVol. Jul 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC81%
1.25–1.29ºC10%4 more
$36KVol. Aug 1science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$121KVol. Mar 31science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

450-475mm
450-475mm41%
425-450mm
425-450mm24%8 more
$15KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

August 30
August 3050%
October 31
October 3149%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
90-100mm1%6 more
$13KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm
<30mm85%
60-70mm
60-70mm7%5 more
$5.9KVol. Jul 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10055%
100–12936%7 more
$1.4KVol. Aug 1science